What happened to the Democrat get out the vote Campaign? I think the Dem assumption that minorities will turn out heavily for white candidates when a black man is not on top of the ticket is clearly dead. This is now two election cycles with no Obama at the top of the ticket, and minorities largely stayed home. Why?
Can the Democrat assume minorities will turn out as heavily for Hillary Clinton as Obama? I
think the answer is clearly no. I believe Hillary will have a much
more difficult time then most Democrats assume. I'm not saying she
cannot or will not win....but if the GOP puts forth a viable candidate I
think the race should be very competitive.
Has the Democrat Party lost White Voters? The data
suggests the Democrat Party has largely lost White male voters....maybe
forever. Romney captured almost 2/3rd of the white male vote. Now
White women now seem to be trending away from the Democrat in a big way.
There is an excellent article by the Associated Press regarding the
movement of whites away from the Democrat Party.